The 21st edition of the Valspar Championship gets underway on Thursday morning on the Innisbrook Resort’s acclaimed Copperhead course. It will be the final leg of the four-stop Florida swing.
The field features five of the top-10 ranked players in the Official World Golf Rankings, including superstars Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, and Xander Schauffele.
With the table (somewhat) set, here are a few bets to consider for what should be an exciting week of PGA Tour action on the west coast of Florida.
Note: Each week, we make our picks based on the odds offered by DraftKings Sportsbook. The picks we make MUST offer payouts of at least +400. (We are looking for the best return.)
The 2022 Valspar Championship
Top-5 Betting Favorites
Book Rank-Player (Odds)
1. Justin Thomas (10-1)
2. Collin Morikawa (12-1)
2. Viktor Hovland (12-1)
4. Dustin Johnson (14-1)
5. Xander Schauffele (18-1)
3 Bets To Win
Justin Thomas (+1000) – The world No. 8 finished T33 in last week’s big-money mess at Sawgrass. It was JT’s first finish outside the top 25 since a T26 in Memphis last August. We’re filing this result as an anomoly, given that the weather and tee times were the most determining factors… Looking for his first victory in more than a year, Thomas ranks fourth on Tour in strokes gained: tee-to-green and greens in regulation, giving hope that he could close the deal for the 15th time in his career any time soon. He finished T13 in this event last year, one of three finishes of T18 or better in four Valspar attempts.
Three other outright picks we like: Collin Morikawa (+1200), Xander Schauffele (+1500), Tommy Fleetwood (+2100)
Shane Lowry (+600) – The 2019 British Open champ lived every golfer’s fantasy last weekend when he aced the iconic 17th island green during the third round of the Players Championship. The Irishman ran out of gas on Monday, but a T13 marked his second consecutive top-15 finish (solo runner-up at the Honda). Lowry sits 15th in scoring average, and has been much better with the flatstick of late… He’s played the Valspar only once, posting a T49 in 2018.
Three other top-5 picks we like: Abraham Ancer (+700), Tommy Fleetwood (+1200), Kevin Kisner (+1400)
Adam Hadwin (+550) – The Canadian won the 2017 Valspar by a stroke over Patrick Cantlay… He arrives at Innisbrook in fairly solid form. The 34-year-old doesn’t knock the cover off the ball, but has flashed a decent all-around game, and currently ranks inside the top 50 in five of the six strokes gained: categories. Hadwin has finished inside the top 30 in three of his past four starts, including a T9 at last week’s PLAYERS Championship where he closed with a 5-under 67, highlighted by eight birdies.
Three other top-10 picks we like: Gary Woodland (+500), Cameron Tringale (+600), Joel Dahmen (+1300)
Full Field: Odds To Win
Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead) | Palm Harbor, FL | Mar 17-20, 2022
Some content used from Joel Cook’s Power Rankings to produce this post.