The betting favorites to win the 2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open, based on odds from various sportsbooks, are led by Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy.
Here’s a breakdown from available data:
Scottie Scheffler: Listed as the top favorite with odds around +330 to +350 across major betting platforms like DraftKings, BetMGM, and FanDuel. This translates to an implied win probability of approximately 23-25%. As World No. 1, and a Texas native, Scheffler’s strong history at Memorial Park Golf Course (two T-2 finishes in the last three years) bolsters his position. His current form, while not at last year’s peak, still includes consistent top-25 finishes in 2025.
Rory McIlroy: The second favorite with odds around +600 to +750, implying a 12-14% win probability. As World No. 2, and fresh off a Players Championship win, McIlroy is making his first professional appearance at Memorial Park. His longer odds compared to Scheffler offer higher payout potential, and some analysts argue he’s in better form heading into the event.
After these two, there’s a notable drop-off in odds:
Aaron Rai: Around +2500 to +2800, positioning him as a distant third favorite. His recent consistency (T-7 at this event last year) and strong off-the-tee stats make him a contender.
Tony Finau, Jason Day, Davis Thompson, and J.J. Spaun: Clustered around +3300 to +3500. Finau, a past winner (2022) and runner-up (2024), stands out with course familiarity, while Day and Thompson bring solid recent form.
Scheffler and McIlroy dominate the betting market due to their world rankings, star power, and relevance ahead of the Masters, though the field’s depth (12 top-35 OWGR players) suggests value in mid-tier contenders like Finau or Rai.
Odds may shift as the tournament begins, so checking live updates from betting sites is suggested.
