10. Phil Mickelson
Always a favorite in New York, Phil opened The Northern Trust with three-consecutive 68s, his best showing anywhere in months. At 10th in the FedExCup Standings, he needs to keep his excellent form at TPC Boston, and try to nab one of those top 5 positions at East Lake.
His T15 at Ridgewood likely locked up a Captain’s Pick for the Ryder Cup, not that he wasn’t probably going to be a pick anyway; it just removed all doubt. He has been streaky this year, and this feels like an excellent time for another positive streak.
Odds: 50-1
World Rank: 24
FedExCup Rank: 10
Last Six: 15, MC, 24, 24, MC, 65, 48
9. Adam Scott
The Aussie did his best to show his third place finish at the PGA Championship was no fluke, contending at The Northern Trust and finishing T5. His shot making has looked vintage Adam Scott as of late, and he has to be very confident with how much his standing has improved (he is now 40th in the FedExCup Standings).
The big surprise at Ridgewood, however: Scott led the field in strokes gained: putting. We do not know that his recent putting is sustainable, but there is no questioning that he is feeling it on the greens right now.
Odds: 25-1
World Rank: 38
FedExCup Rank: 40
Last Six: 5, 3, 57, 17, MC, 35
8. Tiger Woods
His second-poorest putting performance of the year marred Tiger’s long-anticipated return to the FedExCup playoffs, imputing a T40 performance that was a surprise coming off his runner-up finish at the PGA Championship.
At Ridgewood, Tiger was second in the field in bogeys, but a dismal 79th in birdies, a huge anomaly for the man who sits 25th in the FedExCup standings. The way TPC Boston is setting up, a course that Woods has an excellent history at, he is very unlikely to card so few birdies again.
Odds: 18-1
World Rank: 26
FedExCup Rank: 25
Last Six: 40, 2, 31, 6, 4, MC
7. Tony Finau
Finau was solo-runner up to DeChambeau last week at Ridgewood, scoring his fourth top-10 finish in his last seven starts, and looks closer and closer to finally nabbing that first career victory in a non-opposite field event. His length is very clearly a plus, and it was extremely encouraging that he only bogeyed one hole on the weekend at The Northern Trust.
Suddenly, Finau is fourth in the FedExCup Standings, and is determined to not only grab one of those top five spots for East Lake, but he has become a favorite to be one of Jim Furyk’s captain’s picks for the American Ryder Cup team. There is no reason to expect Finau to not be going all-in this week.
Odds: 28-1
World Rank: 18
FedExCup Rank: 4
Last Six: 2, 42, 10, 37, 9, 21, 5
6. Bryson DeChambeau
Could DeChambeau go 2-for-2 over the first two weeks of the FedExCup Playoffs? He was dominant at Ridgewood, and emphatically answered questions about the state of his game, almost definitely locking up a spot on the Ryder Cup team in the process.
The new leader in the FedExCup Standings, DeChambeau is very self-motivated and extremely unlikely to dial back the intensity this week. He lead The Northern Trust field in birdies, greens in regulation, and was fifth in putting.
DeChambeau is clearly healthy and always plays like he has something to prove. He somehow remains overlooked, making him a great bet again.
Odds: 33-1
World Rank: 12
FedExCup Rank: 1
Last Six: 1, MC, 30, 13, 51, 9, 25
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