The Wyndham Championship gets under way tomorrow morning at 7:00 am (EST) from Sedgefield Country Club. The field this week in Greensboro is obviously not quite as stacked as last week’s PGA, or even the prior week in Memphis (WGC), but the longtime North Carolina PGA Tour stop will have one of its strongest fields in recent memory.
Headlined by top-ranked stars such as Brooks Koepka, Webb Simpson and Justin Rose, the strength of field this week checks in at 325, with the winner receiving 50 OWGR points. That’s about on par with events such as the Farmers, the Honda, Phoenix, and Pebble.
Overall, just a super solid field, and your last opportunity to tune up your golf betting skills before the start of the FedExCup Playoffs.
As we do each week, here are four (4) prop bets to consider for the 2020 Wyndham Championship. (As always, this content is for research purposes only. Please bet responsibly.)
1. Justin Rose – Top English Player
The man who won the FedExCup just two years ago sits in 103rd place. The Englishman badly needs to score some points here this week. Otherwise he’ll need about a top-5 finish in Boston to move beyond the postseason’s first leg.
Rose’s two main competitors in this category would seem to be Tommy Fleetwood and Paul Casey. Fleetwood is not in a much better position (85th place) than his compatriot, but he’s been stuck in neutral since the restart, whereas Rose has posted a few impressive results since the reboot, including a T3 at Colonial and T9 last week at the PGA.
As for Casey – he finished T2 last week at the PGA, which is essentially like winning an opposite-field event (ie Barracuda, Bermuda) in terms of money ($1 mil) and FedExCup points (270) so he should not be quite as desperate. Although, Casey is a known as a streaky player (2016 comes to mind) so that could be cause for concern as he entered Harding Park off four-straight poor starts, and could now be ready for a money run. Who knows… that’s why it’s called gambling.
Bet: Justin Rose, Top English
Potential Return: $450
Net Return: $350
2. Webb Simpson – Under 66.5, Rd 1
Simpson is enjoying another fantastic season – although he has cooled off somewhat, posting T37, T12, and MC in his last three starts. However, those results were against three (PGA, WGC, Memorial) of the most elite fields you’ll find in golf. It says here that some Carolina home cooking, and a course that he just eats up, should solve any recent issues.
How much does Simpson love Sedgefield? This much: In his last eight rounds – resulting in two runner-up finishes, Simpson’s scoring average is a mind blowing 65.125.
It looks even more impressive like this: 68, 66, 66, 65, 65, 65, 64, 62 (65.125)
In seven of those eight rounds, the Tar Heel State native has scored under 66.5.
Bet: Webb Simpson, Under 66.5
Competition: Round 1
Potential Return: $376
Net Return: $176
3. Kevin Kisner – Group D Winner
Kisner enters off back-to-back top 25 finishes against stacked fields (WGC-FedEx St Jude and PGA Championship). The 36-year old South Carolina native is enjoying another under-the-radar Kisner type season with a couple of top-5 paydays, and three top-25s in the three biggest events, which basically equate to top-15s in regular events, relative to money and points.
The group matchup prop bet pit five players of similar skill/rank and whatnot. The bettor’s job is to pick the player who will produce the best score at the end of the tournament.
In the Group D Matchup, it’s the favorite Kisner (+300) against Russell Henley (+350), Corey Conners (+350), Chez Reavie (+350), and Brandt Snedeker (+350).
In this format, we have to look at recent form, past history in Greensboro, and motivation (e.g. where do they stand in FedExCup).
World: No. 34
Recent: T19 (PGA), T25 (WGC), MC (Memorial), 3rd (Rocket)
Wyndham: T42 (2017), T10 (2016), T8 (2014)
World: No. 172
Recent: T37 (PGA), T51 (Barracuda), MC (3M), T7 (Workday)
Wyndham: T31 (2019), MC (2018), T46 (2016)
World: No. 67
Last Four: MC (PGA), T30 (WGC), T22 (Memorial), T39 (Workday)
Wyndham: T22 (2019), T45 (2018)
World: No. 37
Last Four: T75 (PGA), T6 (WGC), T22 (Memorial), T17 (Workday)
Wyndham: T48 (2019), T37 (2017), MC (2016), MC (2015)
World: No. 64
Last Four: T51 (PGA), T67 (WGC), MC (Workday), MC (Rocket)
Wyndham: 12 Starts, 2 Wins, 3 Top 5s, 1 Top 10
Two-time Greensboro winner Snedeker would normally be a no-brainer, but he’s been struggling as of late, so we took him off the board. It came down to Reavie and Kisner as both are in similar solid form, and both are historically sneaky good. But Reavie’s results at Sedgefield have been very poor, while Kisner owns two top 10s in three starts.
Edge goes to Kiz.
Bet: Kevin Kisner, Group D Winner, Tournament
Potential Return: $400
Net Return: $300
4. Winning Margin 1 Stroke
Going back to the 2013 edition, when a just-turned 23-year old Patrick Reed beat then 20-year old Jordan Spieth in a playoff, the winning margin over the past seven Wyndham Championships has been one stroke or less five times (a 71.4% clip).
Translation: Sedgefield – a par 70 – is a scorer’s layout and so you will rarely see a runaway winner. Brandt Snedeker won by three strokes in 2018 but that was aided by a 59 in the opening round.
Bet: 1 Stroke, Winning Margin, Tournament
Potential Return: $325
Net Return: $225
Odds used in this article came from DraftKings Sportsbook.